Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.098545 0.106511 0.114992 0.124726 0.135624 0.147491 0.161449
2024-10-27 0.084088 0.094813 0.106925 0.121730 0.139491 0.160314 0.186869
2024-11-03 0.078918 0.091871 0.107174 0.126833 0.151786 0.182917 0.225548
2024-11-10 0.075818 0.090598 0.108723 0.133012 0.165389 0.208105 0.270601
2024-11-17 0.071034 0.086580 0.106198 0.133369 0.171037 0.223062 0.303561
2024-11-24 0.066169 0.081943 0.102313 0.131301 0.172826 0.232465 0.329391
2024-12-01 0.061768 0.077524 0.098273 0.128493 0.173038 0.239274 0.351836
2024-12-08 0.057514 0.072984 0.093687 0.124435 0.170867 0.242002 0.367733
2024-12-15 0.054875 0.070446 0.091643 0.123785 0.173607 0.252481 0.398166
2024-12-22 0.052135 0.067588 0.088934 0.121886 0.174139 0.259299 0.422978
2024-12-29 0.050557 0.066253 0.088288 0.122984 0.179438 0.274554 0.466081
2025-01-05 0.047987 0.063363 0.085195 0.120064 0.177855 0.277615 0.485582
2025-01-12 0.045216 0.060183 0.081689 0.116560 0.175514 0.280003 0.506357
2025-01-19 0.042752 0.057351 0.078580 0.113522 0.173788 0.283510 0.530880
2025-01-26 0.042399 0.057597 0.080121 0.118111 0.185825 0.314784 0.626185
2025-02-02 0.042280 0.058169 0.082178 0.123704 0.200308 0.353402 0.752343
2025-02-09 0.040990 0.056880 0.081211 0.124026 0.204929 0.372255 0.833413
2025-02-16 0.039333 0.054944 0.079089 0.122154 0.205076 0.381332 0.889877
2025-02-23 0.037659 0.052903 0.076690 0.119609 0.203622 0.386564 0.936674
2025-03-02 0.035870 0.050611 0.073767 0.115928 0.199525 0.385066 0.961871
2025-03-09 0.034796 0.049406 0.072582 0.115338 0.201731 0.398996 1.043993
2025-03-16 0.033576 0.047918 0.070850 0.113613 0.201377 0.406574 1.107061
2025-03-23 0.032925 0.047317 0.070581 0.114611 0.206949 0.430158 1.241111